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Research Papers
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Nov 12, 2025
Confidence Revisited
Relevance-Based Prediction can assess a prediction’s reliability from the consistency of the information that forms it, providing a novel perspective that complements conventional measures of confidence.
Nov 12, 2025
Confidence Revisited
Relevance-Based Prediction can assess a prediction’s reliability from the consistency of the information that forms it, providing a novel perspective that complements conventional measures of confidence.
Nov 12, 2025
Confidence Revisited
Relevance-Based Prediction can assess a prediction’s reliability from the consistency of the information that forms it, providing a novel perspective that complements conventional measures of confidence.
Working Papers
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Sep 9, 2025
The Fallacy of Concentration
Conventional wisdom holds that the stock market becomes riskier if a small number of companies grows to become a large fraction of the market's total capitalization.
Sep 9, 2025
The Fallacy of Concentration
Conventional wisdom holds that the stock market becomes riskier if a small number of companies grows to become a large fraction of the market's total capitalization.
Sep 9, 2025
The Fallacy of Concentration
Conventional wisdom holds that the stock market becomes riskier if a small number of companies grows to become a large fraction of the market's total capitalization.
Articles
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Research Paper
Chart of the week
We analyse the transformative impact of life insurance platform integration on the business models, financial profiles, and market valuations of prominent alternative asset managers (AAMs).
Research Paper
Chart of the week
We analyse the transformative impact of life insurance platform integration on the business models, financial profiles, and market valuations of prominent alternative asset managers (AAMs).
Research Paper
Chart of the week
We analyse the transformative impact of life insurance platform integration on the business models, financial profiles, and market valuations of prominent alternative asset managers (AAMs).
Podcasts
View all PodcastsSeptember 2025
No more fear left for fall?
Markets appear calm, but underlying risks are building. We explore the disconnect between investor sentiment and macroeconomic signals across rates, currencies and global policy.
September 2025
No more fear left for fall?
Markets appear calm, but underlying risks are building. We explore the disconnect between investor sentiment and macroeconomic signals across rates, currencies and global policy.
September 2025
No more fear left for fall?
Markets appear calm, but underlying risks are building. We explore the disconnect between investor sentiment and macroeconomic signals across rates, currencies and global policy.
Videos
View all Videos No more fear left for fall?
Markets appear calm, but underlying risks are building. We explore the disconnect between investor sentiment and macroeconomic signals across rates, currencies and global policy.
No more fear left for fall?
Markets appear calm, but underlying risks are building. We explore the disconnect between investor sentiment and macroeconomic signals across rates, currencies and global policy.
No more fear left for fall?
Markets appear calm, but underlying risks are building. We explore the disconnect between investor sentiment and macroeconomic signals across rates, currencies and global policy.
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1.Peter L. Bernstein Award for Best Article in an Institutional Investor Journal in 2013; Doriot Award for Best Private Equity Research Paper in 2022; Bernstein-Fabozzi/Jacobs-Levy Award for Outstanding Article in the Journal of Portfolio Management in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2013 (2), 2014, 2015, 2016, 2021; Roger F. Murray First Prize for Research Presented at the Q Group Conference in 2012 and 2021; Graham & Dodd Scroll Award for article in the Financial Analysts Journal in 2002 and 2010.