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How do Global Portfolio Investors Hedge Currency Risk?

October 21, 2024
By: Alex Cheema-Fox, Robin Greenwood

By Alexander Cheema-Fox and Robin Greenwood

 

Using a uniquely deep proprietary dataset, we detail how global investors across regions and asset classes hedge their currency risk, stick to their hedges, and adjust their hedging targets over time.

 

Currency risk is a key component of global investor returns, but different categories of investor approach these exposures differently.  Using State Street’s proprietary custodial data, we have a uniquely precise view into how investors actually choose to hedge and how that varies over time, by asset class, and across different investor domiciles. We introduce a new quantity, the “dynamic hedge ratio,” to capture how investors adjust their hedge ratios and rebalance their currency risk over time.  We find that US investors hedge less than others, that equity investors hedge less than fixed-income investors, and that investors tend to stick to target hedge ratios.  Moreover, we find that average hedge ratios vary through time with currency, equity, and bond factors, yet exhibit a post GFC shift towards higher hedge ratios that cannot be explained by these factors.

 

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Author Bios
Alex Cheema-Fox
Alex Cheema-Fox leads Multi-Asset Research in the Quantitative Markets Research Group at State Street Associates (SSA), focusing on investor behavior. Since joining SSA in late 2008, Alex has contributed to the construction and application of behavioral measures spanning the fixed-income, equity, factor and foreign exchange spaces. He has presented this research globally at numerous conferences. Prior to joining SSA, Alex worked at the RIS Consulting Group, where he built and applied quantitative risk models for customized structured products, serving a variety of institutional clients including asset owners and asset managers. Alex holds a bachelor's degree in mathematics, a master's degree in quantitative finance, a master's degree in computer science, the FRM certification and the CFA charter.
Robin Greenwood
Robin is a professor at Harvard Business School specializing in behavioral finance, macro market inefficiencies, price bubbles, financial crises, and the role of government and central banks in debt markets. His published articles have garnered six distinguished awards for their impact and originality. Robin’s foundational research on investor behavior and prices offers State Street clients new avenues to understand and apply proprietary indicators of flow and positioning across markets.
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1. Peter L. Bernstein Award for Best Article in an Institutional Investor Journal in 2013; Bernstein-Fabozzi/Jacobs-Levy Award for Outstanding Article in the Journal of Portfolio Management in 2006, 2009, 2011, 2013 (2), 2014, 2015, 2016, 2021; Graham & Dodd Scroll Award for article in the Financial Analysts Journal in 2002 and 2010. Roger F. Murray First Prize for Research Presented at the Q Group Conference in 2012, 2021, 2023. Harry M. Markowitz Award for Best Paper in the Journal of Investment Management in 2022, 2023. Doriot Award for Best Private Equity Research Paper in 2022.